This Saturday Hernandez vs Rodrigues · Golden 1 Center Sacramento , CA United States See tonight's picks →
Picks · Compare · Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues
Middleweight · 3 rounds · Hernandez vs Rodrigues
15-3
Red corner
VS
19-6
Blue corner

The model's read of this fight

One honest, calibrated confidence split — a real, booked bout, so we show the number.

HIGH We predict Anthony Hernandez73% confident
Anthony Hernandez 73% Gregory Rodrigues 27%

The grappling gap is real: Anthony Hernandez averages 5.88 takedowns per 15 min to 1.9. Net of it, the method model leans a decision (42%), the model flags Anthony Hernandez at HIGH.

Built only from the striking / grappling rates and the method read shown on this page — career averages from public UFC statistics. If a number isn't in the data, it isn't in this summary.

Tale of the tape

Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

15-3Record19-6
FluffyNicknameRobocop
6' 0"Height6' 3"
75.0"Reach75.0"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
32Age34
185 lbs.Weight185 lbs.
United StatesNationalityBrazil
Dunnigan, CaliforniaHometownPorto Velho, Rondonia
MMA Gold Fight TeamFighting out ofKill Cliff FC
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality, hometown and camp from the public fighter register.

FightIQ Metrics

Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against every fighter on record. The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.

Anthony HernandezGregory Rodrigues
88
Striking
85
52
Defence
33
80
Grappling / TD
41
87
Cardio
86
48
Chin
38
71
Fight IQ
57
Our read — derived, not official stats.

Strike zones

Strike zones

Where they go — head to head

Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Anthony Hernandez12 UFC fights · 620 landed

80.3%
HEAD
73.7%
12.3%
BODY
21.3%
7.4%
LEGS
5.0%

Gregory Rodrigues13 UFC fights · 642 landed

Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do.

Stat-by-stat

Anthony Hernandez (left) vs Gregory Rodrigues (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min
4.57
vs
5.53
Striking accuracy
60%
vs
51%
Strikes absorbed / min
3.1
vs
4.78
Striking defence
51%
vs
50%
Takedowns / 15 min
5.88
vs
1.9
Takedown accuracy
48%
vs
34%
Takedown defence
68%
vs
75%
Sub attempts / 15 min
1.6
vs
0.4
Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Live market

The market line next to the live prediction-market price — information only, not a bet call.

paymentsSportsbook line
Anthony Hernandez-200
Gregory Rodrigues+165
Live · Polymarket
Anthony Hernandez66% · -190
Gregory Rodrigues34% · +190
as of 2026-08-22T19:51:08Z · $98,975 liquidity. The implied chance is the market's number, not ours.

Go deeper

Want to compare two other fighters? The build-your-own head-to-head lets you stack any two fighters we hold data on side by side — tale of the tape, stat-by-stat and the FightIQ Metrics. What it can't show is a model read: we only publish a prediction on a booked bout, where the call is timestamped before the cage door closes.
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