Diego Lopes has fought at the very top — two competitive title fights with Alexander Volkanovski and a knockout of Jean Silva between them. He's the slight betting favorite, but FightIQ's model rates this a toss-up, and Steve Garcia is exactly why: the featherweight is on a tear of finishes, with first-round knockouts of David Onama and others plus a decision over veteran Calvin Kattar. Lopes's experience against elite competition versus Garcia's surging power and momentum — a genuine coin-flip between two men who end fights. The kind of opener that can steal the night.