Every week we grade our own predictions in public. Last weekend's card in Oklahoma City gave us a clean number to report: 8 of 12 on winners, and 8 of 12 on method.
That is 66.7% on the night. It sits in the middle of our range, better than some cards and worse than others.
The main event went our way. We picked Dricus Du Plessis, and he beat Kamaru Usman by unanimous decision over five rounds to keep the middleweight title.
Several undercard calls landed too. We had Christian Leroy Duncan, Fatima Kline, Alden Coria, Felipe Franco, Chase Hooper, RJ Harris and Dione Barbosa as winners, and all seven won.
We read the method right on most of those, including Franco's second-round knockout. We missed the method on three we still won: Hooper and Barbosa both won by first-round submission, and Harris by first-round knockout, where we had the right fighter but not the finish.
The four we got wrong deserve their names in full.
We picked Alberto Montes; Tommy McMillen won by KO/TKO in the third round. We picked Austin Bashi; Jose Miguel Delgado won by unanimous decision. We picked Seokhyeon Ko; Jean Paul Lebosnoyani won by unanimous decision. We picked Damien Anderson; Ezra Elliot won by unanimous decision.
One note on how we are grading this week. We normally publish a confidence tier for each fight. We are withholding per-fight tiers this week because the tier data for this card sits under a known pipeline problem and has not been re-certified. We would rather show nothing than post a number we cannot stand behind. The card-level grade, 8 of 12, holds.
Our flagged picks stay strong across the season as of July 2026. The honest read on last weekend is the simple one: two-thirds of the card, one clean main-event call, and four misses we can name.