Lightweight · 3 rounds · Hernandez vs Rodrigues
One honest, calibrated confidence split — a real, booked bout, so we show the number.
Net of it, the method model leans a decision (62%), the edges are too close to separate — so we call it a toss-up and don't lean.
Built only from the striking / grappling rates and the method read shown on this page — career averages from public UFC statistics. If a number isn't in the data, it isn't in this summary.Chris Padilla vs Nasrat Haqparast — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.
| 17-6-1 | Record | 18-6 |
| Taco | Nickname | — |
| 5' 9" | Height | 5' 10" |
| 74.0"▲ | Reach | 72.0" |
| Orthodox | Stance | Southpaw |
| 30 | Age | 31 |
| 155 lbs. | Weight | 155 lbs. |
| United States | Nationality | Morocco |
| Gardena, California | Hometown | Rabat |
| California Mixed Martial Arts | Fighting out of | Tristar Gym |
Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against every fighter on record. The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.
Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.
Chris Padilla5 UFC fights · 330 landed
Nasrat Haqparast15 UFC fights · 1,120 landed
Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do.
Chris Padilla (left) vs Nasrat Haqparast (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.
The market line next to the live prediction-market price — information only, not a bet call.
