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Picks · Compare · Jackson McVey vs Wes Schultz
Middleweight · 3 rounds · Hernandez vs Rodrigues
7-2
Red corner
VS
9-3
Blue corner

The model's read of this fight

One honest, calibrated confidence split — a real, booked bout, so we show the number.

TOSS-UP We predict Jackson McVey52% confident
Jackson McVey 52% Wes Schultz 48%

On the feet Jackson McVey lands more volume — 6.51 strikes a minute to 2.91. The grappling gap is real: Wes Schultz averages 2.39 takedowns per 15 min to 0. Net of it, the method model leans a decision (40%), the edges are too close to separate — so we call it a toss-up and don't lean.

Built only from the striking / grappling rates and the method read shown on this page — career averages from public UFC statistics. If a number isn't in the data, it isn't in this summary.

Tale of the tape

Jackson McVey vs Wes Schultz — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

7-2Record9-3
6' 4"Height6' 1"
77.0"Reach77.0"
SouthpawStanceOrthodox
27Age30
185 lbs.Weight185 lbs.
NationalityUnited States
HometownMadison, Wisconsin
Fighting out ofPura Vida BJJ
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality, hometown and camp from the public fighter register.

FightIQ Metrics

Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against every fighter on record. The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.

Jackson McVeyWes Schultz
97
Striking
56
26
Defence
40
71
Grappling / TD
58
28 limited sample
CardioRound-2 tape only
68 limited sample
62 limited sample
Chin
9 limited sample
57
Fight IQ
46
Our read — derived, not official stats.

Strike zones

Strike zones

Where they go — head to head

Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Jackson McVey3 UFC fights · 81 landed

58.1%
HEAD
40.0%
40.7%
BODY
53.3%
1.2%
LEGS
6.7%

Wes Schultz2 UFC fights · 15 landed

Limited sample

Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do.

Stat-by-stat

Jackson McVey (left) vs Wes Schultz (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min
6.51
vs
2.91
Striking accuracy
69%
vs
46%
Strikes absorbed / min
3.37
vs
3.11
Striking defence
23%
vs
43%
Takedowns / 15 min
0
vs
2.39
Takedown accuracy
0%
vs
21%
Takedown defence
0%
vs
0%
Sub attempts / 15 min
1.2
vs
3.6
Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Live market

The market line next to the live prediction-market price — information only, not a bet call.

paymentsSportsbook line
Jackson McVey-172
Wes Schultz+155
Live · Polymarket
Jackson McVey62% · -167
Wes Schultz38% · +167
as of 2026-08-22T19:51:08Z · $68,925 liquidity. The implied chance is the market's number, not ours.

Go deeper

Want to compare two other fighters? The build-your-own head-to-head lets you stack any two fighters we hold data on side by side — tale of the tape, stat-by-stat and the FightIQ Metrics. What it can't show is a model read: we only publish a prediction on a booked bout, where the call is timestamped before the cage door closes.
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