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Picks · Head-to-head ·

Kody Steele vs Noah Gugnon

Lightweight · 3 rounds · Volkanovski vs Evloev
UFC 1-1 · Pro 8-1
Red corner
VS
UFC 1-0 · Pro 10-2
Blue corner

The prediction

Our pick, its confidence, the method read and the time we published it are on the bout’s own page — the one URL that carries the prediction before the fight and the graded result after it.

Kody Steele vs Noah Gugnon prediction →

Tale of the tape

Kody Steele vs Noah Gugnon — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

UFC 1-1UFC recordUFC 1-0
8-1Pro record10-2
5' 9"Height5' 11"
71"Reach71"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
31Age26
155 lbs.Weight155 lbs.
United StatesNationalityFrance
Austin, TexasHometown (per Sherdog)Sarrebourg
Syndicate MMACampBulgarian Top Team
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

FightIQ Metrics

Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the fighter’s own weight class (the full roster where a division is too thin to rank in). The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.

Kody SteeleNoah Gugnon
44
Striking
65
28
Defence
63
28
Grappling / TD
99
65 limited sample
Cardio
n/a
40 limited sample
Chin
50 limited sample
41
Fight IQ
69
Our read — derived, not official stats. Ranked within weight class.

Strike zones

Strike zones

Where they go — head to head

Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Kody Steele2 UFC fights · 60 landed

Limited sample
80.0%
HEAD
20.0%
16.7%
BODY
0.0%
3.3%
LEGS
80.0%

Noah Gugnon1 UFC fights · 5 landed

Limited sample

Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.

Stat-by-stat

Kody Steele (left) vs Noah Gugnon (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min
3.85
vs
3.7
Striking accuracy
32%
vs
45%
Strikes absorbed / min
6.2
vs
4.44
Striking defence
52%
vs
68%
Takedowns / 15 min
1.07
vs
0
Takedown accuracy
25%
vs
0%
Takedown defence
100%
vs
0%
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.5
vs
11.1
Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Live market

The market line next to the live prediction-market price — information only, not a bet call.

Sportsbook line
Kody Steele-155
Noah Gugnon+134
Live · Polymarket
Kody Steele57% · -135
Noah Gugnon42% · +135
as of 2026-10-20T10:51:02Z · $211 liquidity. The implied chance is the market's number, not ours.

Go deeper

Want to compare two other fighters? Build your own head-to-head gives FightIQ’s hypothetical read on any two eligible fighters, with the tale of the tape and the stats side by side — labelled as a thought experiment and never graded. Our graded prediction is published only on a booked bout, timestamped before the cage door closes. For two ranked fighters who have never met, see the fantasy matchups.
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