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Picks · Compare · Reinier de Ridder vs Roman Dolidze
Light Heavyweight · 3 rounds · Hernandez vs Rodrigues
21-4
Red corner
VS
15-5
Blue corner

The model's read of this fight

One honest, calibrated confidence split — a real, booked bout, so we show the number.

LOCK We predict Reinier de Ridder80% confident
Reinier de Ridder 80% Roman Dolidze 20%

The grappling gap is real: Reinier de Ridder averages 2.56 takedowns per 15 min to 1.16. Net of it, the method model leans a decision (48%), the model flags Reinier de Ridder at LOCK.

Built only from the striking / grappling rates and the method read shown on this page — career averages from public UFC statistics. If a number isn't in the data, it isn't in this summary.

Tale of the tape

Reinier de Ridder vs Roman Dolidze — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

21-4Record15-5
RdRNickname
6' 4"Height6' 2"
78.0"Reach76.0"
SouthpawStanceOrthodox
35Age38
185 lbs.Weight185 lbs.
NetherlandsNationalityGeorgia
Breda, North BrabantHometownBatumi, Adjara
Combat BrothersFighting out ofXtreme Couture
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality, hometown and camp from the public fighter register.

FightIQ Metrics

Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against every fighter on record. The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.

Reinier de RidderRoman Dolidze
54
Striking
50
53
Defence
39
47
Grappling / TD
47
9
Cardio
45
52
Chin
90
43
Fight IQ
54
Our read — derived, not official stats.

Strike zones

Strike zones

Where they go — head to head

Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Reinier de Ridder6 UFC fights · 203 landed

59.6%
HEAD
63.4%
32.0%
BODY
14.5%
8.4%
LEGS
22.1%

Roman Dolidze14 UFC fights · 578 landed

Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do.

Stat-by-stat

Reinier de Ridder (left) vs Roman Dolidze (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min
2.47
vs
3.19
Striking accuracy
48%
vs
41%
Strikes absorbed / min
2.36
vs
3.71
Striking defence
46%
vs
48%
Takedowns / 15 min
2.56
vs
1.16
Takedown accuracy
29%
vs
43%
Takedown defence
40%
vs
32%
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.6
vs
0.7
Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Live market

The market line next to the live prediction-market price — information only, not a bet call.

paymentsSportsbook line
Reinier de Ridder-382
Roman Dolidze+340
Live · Polymarket
Reinier de Ridder78% · -344
Roman Dolidze22% · +344
as of 2026-08-22T19:51:08Z · $17,698 liquidity. The implied chance is the market's number, not ours.

Go deeper

Want to compare two other fighters? The build-your-own head-to-head lets you stack any two fighters we hold data on side by side — tale of the tape, stat-by-stat and the FightIQ Metrics. What it can't show is a model read: we only publish a prediction on a booked bout, where the call is timestamped before the cage door closes.
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