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Picks · Compare · Serghei Spivac vs Vitor Petrino
Heavyweight · 3 rounds · Hernandez vs Rodrigues
18-6
Red corner
VS
14-2
Blue corner

The model's read of this fight

One honest, calibrated confidence split — a real, booked bout, so we show the number.

LOW We predict Vitor Petrino59% confident
Serghei Spivac 41% Vitor Petrino 59%

The grappling gap is real: Serghei Spivac averages 3.82 takedowns per 15 min to 2.6. Net of it, the method model leans KO/TKO (41%), the model flags Vitor Petrino at LOW.

Built only from the striking / grappling rates and the method read shown on this page — career averages from public UFC statistics. If a number isn't in the data, it isn't in this summary.

Tale of the tape

Serghei Spivac vs Vitor Petrino — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

18-6Record14-2
Polar BearNickname
6' 3"Height6' 2"
78.0"Reach77.0"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
31Age28
260 lbs.Weight225 lbs.
MoldovaNationalityBrazil
ChisinauHometownSanta Luzia, Minas Gerais
Polar Bear TeamFighting out ofCM System
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality, hometown and camp from the public fighter register.

FightIQ Metrics

Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against every fighter on record. The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.

Serghei SpivacVitor Petrino
66
Striking
64
42
Defence
57
68
Grappling / TD
61
80
Cardio
68
35
Chin
49
58
Fight IQ
60
Our read — derived, not official stats.

Strike zones

Strike zones

Where they go — head to head

Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Serghei Spivac15 UFC fights · 448 landed

93.9%
HEAD
67.4%
3.6%
BODY
19.7%
2.5%
LEGS
12.9%

Vitor Petrino9 UFC fights · 294 landed

Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do.

Stat-by-stat

Serghei Spivac (left) vs Vitor Petrino (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min
3.57
vs
3.24
Striking accuracy
47%
vs
48%
Strikes absorbed / min
4.23
vs
2.71
Striking defence
52%
vs
51%
Takedowns / 15 min
3.82
vs
2.6
Takedown accuracy
59%
vs
46%
Takedown defence
63%
vs
79%
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.5
vs
0.7
Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Live market

The market line next to the live prediction-market price — information only, not a bet call.

paymentsSportsbook line
Serghei Spivac+132
Vitor Petrino-138
Live · Polymarket
Serghei Spivac42% · +141
Vitor Petrino58% · -141
as of 2026-08-22T19:51:08Z · $29,368 liquidity. The implied chance is the market's number, not ours.

Go deeper

Want to compare two other fighters? The build-your-own head-to-head lets you stack any two fighters we hold data on side by side — tale of the tape, stat-by-stat and the FightIQ Metrics. What it can't show is a model read: we only publish a prediction on a booked bout, where the call is timestamped before the cage door closes.
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