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Events · Rosas Jr. vs Barcelos
26 Sep 2026

Rosas Jr. vs Barcelos

UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs Barcelos — the promotion’s own billing for this card

Meta APEX Las Vegas, NV United States · 12 fights
FightIQ 5-4on this card · 55.56% · 9 fights graded
Every pick on this card is one honest, calibrated confidence rating — the % is the signal. Graded against the official UFC result. See the full record →

The full card, graded

MAIN CARD
★ Main Event · Bantamweight FOTN +130 / -152
28%72%
MEDWe predict Raul Rosas Jr. — 72% confidentWIN
Women's Bantamweight -150 / +140
64%36%
MEDWe predict Ailin Perez — 64% confidentWIN
Light Heavyweight -235 / +205
No model read — One of the inputs our method requires was not available for this bout, so we publish no prediction rather than one built on less.No call we published no pick for this bout — excluded from our record
PRELIMS
Bantamweight +320 / -375
19%81%
HIGHWe predict Rinya Nakamura — 81% confidentLOSS (Brady Hiestand · SUB)
Middleweight +145 / -163
34%66%
MEDWe predict Rodolfo Vieira — 66% confidentWIN
Light Heavyweight +150 / -175
31%69%
MEDWe predict Rodolfo Bellato — 69% confidentLOSS (Christian Edwards · KO/TKO)
Lightweight +106 / -120
40%60%
MEDWe predict Josiah Harrell — 60% confidentLOSS (Elves Brener · KO/TKO)
Bantamweight -220 / +200
72%28%
HIGHWe predict Montel Jackson — 72% confidentWIN
Bantamweight +295 / -350
24%76%
HIGHWe predict John Castaneda — 76% confidentLOSS (Alatengheili · DEC)
Women's Strawweight POTN +660 / -900
11%89%
LOCKWe predict Yazmin Jauregui — 89% confidentWIN
Melissa Amaya vs Tina Black — no model read. No usable market price existed for this bout when we ran our numbers, so we publish no prediction rather than one built without it.
Mahammadali Osmanli vs Ilimbek Akylbek — no model read. We have no model read for this bout, and we do not publish a prediction we cannot stand behind.
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