Valentina Shevchenko vs Erin Blanchfield

If they fought

A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.

Valentina Shevchenko 43% Erin Blanchfield 57%

Run as an unbooked fight, the numbers favour Erin Blanchfield at 57% — a lean, not a conviction.

Our two reads agree, and closely. Both land on Erin Blanchfield — 57% on the first, 53% on the second, 4 points apart.

The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 60%.

KO/TKO

14%

Submission

16%

Decision

70%

These figures come from the same statistical reads we run on real cards, with the betting market removed — there is no market on a fight nobody has booked. Nothing here is timestamped against a result, nothing here is graded, and none of it counts towards our public record. It is a thought experiment with real numbers behind it.

Tale of the tape

Valentina Shevchenko vs Erin Blanchfield — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

UFC 15-3 (1 draw/NC)	UFC record	UFC 8-2
26-4-1	Pro record	14-3
Bullet	Nickname	Cold Blooded
5' 5"	Height	5' 4"
66"	Reach	66"
Southpaw	Stance	Orthodox
38	Age	27
125 lbs.	Weight	125 lbs.
Kyrgyzstan	Nationality	United States
Frunze, Kirghiz SSR, Soviet Union	Born in	New York City, New York, United States
Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan	Fights out of	Elmwood Park, New Jersey, United States
Tiger Muay Thai	Camp	Renzo Gracie Jiu-Jitsu

Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

Stat-by-stat

Valentina Shevchenko (left) vs Erin Blanchfield (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min

3.04

5.24

Striking accuracy

52%

44%

Strikes absorbed / min

4.25

Striking defence

63%

58%

Takedowns / 15 min

2.65

1.96

Takedown accuracy

61%

34%

Takedown defence

76%

78%

Sub attempts / 15 min

0.3

0.9

Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Fights that have happened between them

None.

Valentina Shevchenko and Erin Blanchfield have never met in the UFC.

Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.

The real fighters

Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.

Change either fighter: Valentina Shevchenko vs Erin Blanchfield in Build your own → Valentina Shevchenko — record, tape and career → Erin Blanchfield — record, tape and career → This week's real card →

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