UFC 330 runs Saturday at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, with Islam Makhachev defending against Ian Machado Garry in the main event.
A second title fight is on the card. Mackenzie Dern faces Gillian Robertson.
Joe Rogan is on the commentary team.
The reported storyline into fight week is Makhachev's move to a new weight class. One analysis called that his biggest challenge of the night, ahead of the man across from him.
Our model has Makhachev at 68.2%. That number did not clear our flagging bar, so the main event goes out unflagged.
Dern is at 54.2% over Robertson, also unflagged. At that number the fight is close to a coin flip, and we would rather say so now than after the scorecards.
Both title fights are scheduled for five rounds, and our model projects both to reach the judges.
Neither championship bout is among the five picks we flagged for this card. All five sit on the undercard.
Fight week runs through Saturday in Philadelphia.
The card has not happened. Nothing here is a result, and nothing here is betting advice.