Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita — tale of the tape

The prediction

Our pick, its confidence, the method read and the time we published it are on the bout’s own page — the one URL that carries the prediction before the fight and the graded result after it.

Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita prediction →

Tale of the tape

Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

UFC 1-1	UFC record	UFC 1-1
14-5	Pro record	17-2
5' 8"	Height	5' 9"
70"	Reach	▲72"
Orthodox	Stance	Orthodox
30	Age	28
145 lbs.	Weight	145 lbs.
United States	Nationality	Belgium
Whittier, California, United States	Born in	Conakry, Guinea
Whittier, California, United States	Fights out of	Kortrijk, West Flanders, Belgium
Jackson-Wink MMA	Camp	Lamiro Fight Club

Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

FightIQ Metrics

Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the fighter’s own weight class (the full roster where a division is too thin to rank in). The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.

Aaron PicoLosene Keita

Striking

Defence

Grappling / TD

n/a

70 limited sample

Cardio

64 limited sample

17 limited sample

Chin

65 limited sample

Fight IQ

Our read — derived, not official stats. Ranked within weight class.

Strike zones

Where they go — head to head

Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Aaron Pico2 UFC fights · 113 landed

Limited sample

76.1%

HEAD

74.3%

14.2%

BODY

21.4%

9.7%

LEGS

4.3%

Losene Keita2 UFC fights · 70 landed

Limited sample

Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.

Stat-by-stat

Aaron Pico (left) vs Losene Keita (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min

6.16

3.91

Striking accuracy

53%

46%

Strikes absorbed / min

3.11

3.97

Striking defence

45%

64%

Takedowns / 15 min

6.54

Takedown accuracy

50%

Takedown defence

100%

Sub attempts / 15 min

Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Live market

The market line next to the live prediction-market price — information only, not a bet call.

Sportsbook line

Aaron Pico-110

Losene Keita-105

Live · Polymarket

Aaron Pico52% · -106

Losene Keita48% · +106

as of 2026-10-20T10:51:02Z · $4,606 liquidity. The implied chance is the market's number, not ours.

Go deeper

Aaron Pico's page → Losene Keita's page → Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita prediction → Full Volkanovski vs Evloev card →

Want to compare two other fighters? Build your own head-to-head gives FightIQ’s hypothetical read on any two eligible fighters, with the tale of the tape and the stats side by side — labelled as a thought experiment and never graded. Our graded prediction is published only on a booked bout, timestamped before the cage door closes. For two ranked fighters who have never met, see the fantasy matchups.

← All matchups to compare