This Saturday Volkanovski vs Evloev · Etihad Arena Abu Dhabi United Arab Emirates See this week's picks →
Picks · Head-to-head ·

Alexander Volkanovski vs Movsar Evloev

Featherweight · 5 rounds · Volkanovski vs Evloev
UFC 15-3 · Pro 28-4
Red corner
VS
UFC 10-0 · Pro 20-0
Blue corner

The prediction

Our pick, its confidence, the method read and the time we published it are on the bout’s own page — the one URL that carries the prediction before the fight and the graded result after it.

Alexander Volkanovski vs Movsar Evloev prediction →

Tale of the tape

Alexander Volkanovski vs Movsar Evloev — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

UFC 15-3UFC recordUFC 10-0
28-4Pro record20-0
The GreatNickname—
5' 6"Height5' 7"
71"Reach▲72"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
38Age32
145 lbs.Weight145 lbs.
AustraliaNationalityRussia
Wollongong, New South Wales, AustraliaBorn inOrdzhonikidzvskaya, Ingushetia, Russia, (now Sunzha, Ingushetia, Russia)
Windang, New South Wales, AustraliaFights out ofSunzha, Ingushetia, Russia
—CampAmerican Top Team
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

FightIQ Metrics

Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the fighter’s own weight class (the full roster where a division is too thin to rank in). The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.

Alexander VolkanovskiMovsar Evloev
92
Striking
69
60
Defence
72
31
Grappling / TD
58
83
Cardio
88
62
Chin
98
66
Fight IQ
77
Our read — derived, not official stats. Ranked within weight class.

Strike zones

Strike zones

Where they go — head to head

Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Alexander Volkanovski18 UFC fights · 1,815 landed

65.0%
HEAD
76.7%
10.4%
BODY
15.0%
24.6%
LEGS
8.3%

Movsar Evloev10 UFC fights · 625 landed

Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.

Stat-by-stat

Alexander Volkanovski (left) vs Movsar Evloev (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min
5.99
vs
3.91
Striking accuracy
57%
vs
47%
Strikes absorbed / min
3.31
vs
2.8
Striking defence
58%
vs
61%
Takedowns / 15 min
1.63
vs
4.78
Takedown accuracy
34%
vs
52%
Takedown defence
68%
vs
61%
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.2
vs
0.2
Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Live market

The market line next to the live prediction-market price — information only, not a bet call.

Sportsbook line
Alexander Volkanovski-110
Movsar Evloev-113
Live · Polymarket
Alexander Volkanovski50% · +102
Movsar Evloev50% · -102
as of 2026-10-20T10:51:02Z · $43,247 liquidity. The implied chance is the market's number, not ours.

Go deeper

Want to compare two other fighters? Build your own head-to-head gives FightIQ’s hypothetical read on any two eligible fighters, with the tale of the tape and the stats side by side — labelled as a thought experiment and never graded. Our graded prediction is published only on a booked bout, timestamped before the cage door closes. For two ranked fighters who have never met, see the fantasy matchups.
← All matchups to compare