Merab Dvalishvili vs Petr Yan — tale of the tape

The prediction

Our pick, its confidence, the method read and the time we published it are on the bout’s own page — the one URL that carries the prediction before the fight and the graded result after it.

Merab Dvalishvili vs Petr Yan prediction →

Tale of the tape

Merab Dvalishvili vs Petr Yan — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

UFC 14-3	UFC record	UFC 12-4
21-5	Pro record	20-5
The Machine	Nickname	No Mercy
5' 6"	Height	5' 7"
68"▲	Reach	67"
Orthodox	Stance	Switch
35	Age	33
135 lbs.	Weight	135 lbs.
Georgia	Nationality	Russia
Vani, Georgian SSR, Soviet Union	Born in	Dudinka, Russia
Long Island, New York, United States	Fights out of	Yekaterinburg, Russia
Serra-Longo Fight Team	Camp	Archangel Michael Club

Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

FightIQ Metrics

Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the fighter’s own weight class (the full roster where a division is too thin to rank in). The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.

Merab DvalishviliPetr Yan

Striking

Defence

Grappling / TD

Cardio

Chin

Fight IQ

Our read — derived, not official stats. Ranked within weight class.

Strike zones

Where they go — head to head

Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Merab Dvalishvili17 UFC fights · 1,322 landed

66.6%

HEAD

69.2%

17.3%

BODY

19.0%

16.1%

LEGS

11.8%

Petr Yan16 UFC fights · 1,456 landed

Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.

Stat-by-stat

Merab Dvalishvili (left) vs Petr Yan (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min

4.42

5.16

Striking accuracy

41%

54%

Strikes absorbed / min

2.8

4.24

Striking defence

54%

59%

Takedowns / 15 min

5.97

1.7

Takedown accuracy

35%

49%

Takedown defence

76%

86%

Sub attempts / 15 min

0.3

0.1

Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Live market

The market line next to the live prediction-market price — information only, not a bet call.

Sportsbook line

Merab Dvalishvili+150

Petr Yan-175

Live · Polymarket

Merab Dvalishvili38% · +160

Petr Yan62% · -160

as of 2026-10-20T10:51:02Z · $78,425 liquidity. The implied chance is the market's number, not ours.

Go deeper

Merab Dvalishvili's page → Petr Yan's page → Merab Dvalishvili vs Petr Yan prediction → Full Volkanovski vs Evloev card →

Want to compare two other fighters? Build your own head-to-head gives FightIQ’s hypothetical read on any two eligible fighters, with the tale of the tape and the stats side by side — labelled as a thought experiment and never graded. Our graded prediction is published only on a booked bout, timestamped before the cage door closes. For two ranked fighters who have never met, see the fantasy matchups.

← All matchups to compare