Brendan Allen vs Caio Borralho — fantasy matchup

If they fought

A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.

Brendan Allen 50% Caio Borralho 50%

Run as an unbooked fight, this one splits our two reads — they do not name the same winner, so there is no lean here to give you.

Our two reads disagree. One leans Caio Borralho at 50%; the other leans Brendan Allen at 57%. When they split like this there is no read worth having — treat it as a coin toss.

The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 49%.

KO/TKO

26%

Submission

12%

Decision

62%

These figures come from the same statistical reads we run on real cards, with the betting market removed — there is no market on a fight nobody has booked. Nothing here is timestamped against a result, nothing here is graded, and none of it counts towards our public record. It is a thought experiment with real numbers behind it.

Tale of the tape

Brendan Allen vs Caio Borralho — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

UFC 16-4	UFC record	UFC 8-1
28-7	Pro record	18-2
All In	Nickname	The Natural
6' 2"	Height	6' 1"
75"	Reach	75"
Orthodox	Stance	Southpaw
30	Age	33
185 lbs.	Weight	185 lbs.
United States	Nationality	Brazil
Beaufort, South Carolina, United States	Born in	São Luís, Maranhão, Brazil
Delray Beach, Florida, United States	Fights out of	São Paulo, Brazil
Kill Cliff FC	Camp	The Fighting Nerds

Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

Stat-by-stat

Brendan Allen (left) vs Caio Borralho (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min

3.61

3.47

Striking accuracy

52%

56%

Strikes absorbed / min

3.86

2.61

Striking defence

47%

60%

Takedowns / 15 min

1.63

1.25

Takedown accuracy

40%

50%

Takedown defence

57%

76%

Sub attempts / 15 min

1.1

0.4

Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Fights that have happened between them

None.

Brendan Allen and Caio Borralho have never met in the UFC.

Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.

The real fighters

Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.

Change either fighter: Brendan Allen vs Caio Borralho in Build your own → Brendan Allen — record, tape and career → Caio Borralho — record, tape and career → This week's real card →

More Middleweight fantasy matchups

Khamzat Chimaev vs Nassourdine Imavov →Khamzat Chimaev vs Brendan Allen →Khamzat Chimaev vs Caio Borralho →Dricus Du Plessis vs Nassourdine Imavov →Dricus Du Plessis vs Brendan Allen →Dricus Du Plessis vs Caio Borralho →

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