Dricus Du Plessis vs Caio Borralho

If they fought

A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.

Dricus Du Plessis 57% Caio Borralho 43%

Run as an unbooked fight, the numbers favour Dricus Du Plessis at 57% — a lean, not a conviction.

Our two reads agree on the winner but not on the margin. Both name Dricus Du Plessis — 57% on the first, 69% on the second, a gap of 12 points. The wider that gap, the less settled the read.

The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 47%.

KO/TKO

35%

Submission

11%

Decision

54%

These figures come from the same statistical reads we run on real cards, with the betting market removed — there is no market on a fight nobody has booked. Nothing here is timestamped against a result, nothing here is graded, and none of it counts towards our public record. It is a thought experiment with real numbers behind it.

Tale of the tape

Dricus Du Plessis vs Caio Borralho — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

UFC 10-1	UFC record	UFC 8-1
24-3	Pro record	18-2
Stillknocks	Nickname	The Natural
6' 1"	Height	6' 1"
76"▲	Reach	75"
Switch	Stance	Southpaw
32	Age	33
185 lbs.	Weight	185 lbs.
South Africa	Nationality	Brazil
Welkom, Orange Free State, South Africa	Born in	São Luís, Maranhão, Brazil
Hatfield, Pretoria, Gauteng, South Africa	Fights out of	São Paulo, Brazil
Team CIT	Camp	The Fighting Nerds

Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

Stat-by-stat

Dricus Du Plessis (left) vs Caio Borralho (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min

5.21

3.47

Striking accuracy

48%

56%

Strikes absorbed / min

4.24

2.61

Striking defence

54%

60%

Takedowns / 15 min

1.9

1.25

Takedown accuracy

48%

50%

Takedown defence

50%

76%

Sub attempts / 15 min

0.6

0.4

Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Fights that have happened between them

None.

Dricus Du Plessis and Caio Borralho have never met in the UFC.

Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.

The real fighters

Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.

Change either fighter: Dricus Du Plessis vs Caio Borralho in Build your own → Dricus Du Plessis — record, tape and career → Caio Borralho — record, tape and career → This week's real card →

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