Diego Lopes vs Aljamain Sterling — fantasy matchup

If they fought

A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.

Diego Lopes 45% Aljamain Sterling 55%

Run as an unbooked fight, the numbers favour Aljamain Sterling at 55% — a lean, not a conviction.

Our two reads agree, and closely. Both land on Aljamain Sterling — 55% on the first, 56% on the second, 1 point apart.

The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 56%.

Hypothetical run at Featherweight; Aljamain Sterling fought mainly at Bantamweight.

KO/TKO

29%

Submission

10%

Decision

62%

These figures come from the same statistical reads we run on real cards, with the betting market removed — there is no market on a fight nobody has booked. Nothing here is timestamped against a result, nothing here is graded, and none of it counts towards our public record. It is a thought experiment with real numbers behind it.

Tale of the tape

Diego Lopes vs Aljamain Sterling — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

UFC 7-3	UFC record	UFC 18-5
28-8	Pro record	26-5
—	Nickname	Funk Master
5' 11"	Height	5' 7"
72"▲	Reach	71"
Orthodox	Stance	Orthodox
31	Age	37
145 lbs.	Weight	145 lbs.
Brazil	Nationality	United States
Manaus, Amazonas, Brazil	Born in	Uniondale, New York, United States
Puebla, Mexico	Fights out of	Uniondale, New York, United States
Lobo Gym MMA	Camp	Serra-Longo Fight Team

Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

Stat-by-stat

Diego Lopes (left) vs Aljamain Sterling (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min

3.79

4.26

Striking accuracy

47%

52%

Strikes absorbed / min

4.65

2.15

Striking defence

46%

59%

Takedowns / 15 min

0.82

2.54

Takedown accuracy

46%

32%

Takedown defence

68%

44%

Sub attempts / 15 min

1.3

0.6

Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Fights that have happened between them

None.

Diego Lopes and Aljamain Sterling have never met in the UFC.

Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.

The real fighters

Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.

Change either fighter: Diego Lopes vs Aljamain Sterling in Build your own → Diego Lopes — record, tape and career → Aljamain Sterling — record, tape and career → This week's real card →

More Featherweight fantasy matchups

Alexander Volkanovski vs Lerone Murphy →Movsar Evloev vs Jean Silva →Diego Lopes vs Lerone Murphy →Lerone Murphy vs Aljamain Sterling →Lerone Murphy vs Jean Silva →Aljamain Sterling vs Jean Silva →

← All fantasy matchups