Diego Lopes vs Lerone Murphy — fantasy matchup

If they fought

A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.

Diego Lopes 44% Lerone Murphy 56%

Run as an unbooked fight, this one splits our two reads — they do not name the same winner, so there is no lean here to give you.

Our two reads disagree. One leans Lerone Murphy at 56%; the other leans Diego Lopes at 54%. When they split like this there is no read worth having — treat it as a coin toss.

The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 54%.

KO/TKO

36%

Submission

Decision

54%

These figures come from the same statistical reads we run on real cards, with the betting market removed — there is no market on a fight nobody has booked. Nothing here is timestamped against a result, nothing here is graded, and none of it counts towards our public record. It is a thought experiment with real numbers behind it.

Tale of the tape

Diego Lopes vs Lerone Murphy — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

UFC 7-3	UFC record	UFC 9-1 (1 draw/NC)
28-8	Pro record	17-1-1
—	Nickname	The Miracle
5' 11"	Height	5' 9"
72"	Reach	▲73"
Orthodox	Stance	Orthodox
31	Age	35
145 lbs.	Weight	145 lbs.
Brazil	Nationality	—
Manaus, Amazonas, Brazil	Born in	Manchester, England
Puebla, Mexico	Fights out of	Manchester, England
Lobo Gym MMA	Camp	—

Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

Stat-by-stat

Diego Lopes (left) vs Lerone Murphy (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min

3.79

4.34

Striking accuracy

47%

51%

Strikes absorbed / min

4.65

2.65

Striking defence

46%

60%

Takedowns / 15 min

0.82

1.2

Takedown accuracy

46%

54%

Takedown defence

68%

44%

Sub attempts / 15 min

1.3

0.5

Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Fights that have happened between them

None.

Diego Lopes and Lerone Murphy have never met in the UFC.

Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.

The real fighters

Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.

Change either fighter: Diego Lopes vs Lerone Murphy in Build your own → Diego Lopes — record, tape and career → Lerone Murphy — record, tape and career → This week's real card →

More Featherweight fantasy matchups

Alexander Volkanovski vs Lerone Murphy →Movsar Evloev vs Jean Silva →Diego Lopes vs Aljamain Sterling →Lerone Murphy vs Aljamain Sterling →Lerone Murphy vs Jean Silva →Aljamain Sterling vs Jean Silva →

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