Alex Pereira vs Navajo Stirling — fantasy matchup

If they fought

A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.

Alex Pereira 36% Navajo Stirling 64%

Run as an unbooked fight, the numbers favour Navajo Stirling at 64% — a lean, not a conviction.

Our two reads agree, and closely. Both land on Navajo Stirling — 64% on the first, 67% on the second, 3 points apart.

The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 44%.

KO/TKO

57%

Submission

Decision

36%

These figures come from the same statistical reads we run on real cards, with the betting market removed — there is no market on a fight nobody has booked. Nothing here is timestamped against a result, nothing here is graded, and none of it counts towards our public record. It is a thought experiment with real numbers behind it.

Tale of the tape

Alex Pereira vs Navajo Stirling — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

UFC 10-3	UFC record	UFC 6-0
13-4	Pro record	11-0
Poatan	Nickname	—
6' 4"	Height	6' 4"
79"	Reach	79"
Orthodox	Stance	Orthodox
39	Age	28
251 lbs.	Weight	205 lbs.
Brazil	Nationality	New Zealand
São Bernardo do Campo, São Paulo, Brazil	Born in	Upper Hutt, Wellington, New Zealand
Danbury, Connecticut, United States	Fights out of	Auckland, New Zealand
Teixeira MMA & Fitness	Camp	City Kickboxing

Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

Stat-by-stat

Alex Pereira (left) vs Navajo Stirling (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min

5.01

6.47

Striking accuracy

61%

55%

Strikes absorbed / min

3.72

2.56

Striking defence

52%

58%

Takedowns / 15 min

0.11

0.82

Takedown accuracy

50%

25%

Takedown defence

80%

71%

Sub attempts / 15 min

0.2

Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Fights that have happened between them

None.

Alex Pereira and Navajo Stirling have never met in the UFC.

Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.

The real fighters

Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.

Change either fighter: Alex Pereira vs Navajo Stirling in Build your own → Alex Pereira — record, tape and career → Navajo Stirling — record, tape and career → This week's real card →

More Light Heavyweight fantasy matchups

Carlos Ulberg vs Magomed Ankalaev →Carlos Ulberg vs Alex Pereira →Magomed Ankalaev vs Jiri Prochazka →Magomed Ankalaev vs Khalil Rountree Jr. →Magomed Ankalaev vs Navajo Stirling →Khalil Rountree Jr. vs Navajo Stirling →

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