Khalil Rountree Jr. vs Navajo Stirling

If they fought

A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.

Khalil Rountree Jr. 17% Navajo Stirling 83%

Run as an unbooked fight, the numbers favour Navajo Stirling at 83% — the widest kind of gap these reads produce.

Our two reads agree, and closely. Both land on Navajo Stirling — 83% on the first, 80% on the second, 3 points apart.

The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 46%.

KO/TKO

50%

Submission

Decision

41%

These figures come from the same statistical reads we run on real cards, with the betting market removed — there is no market on a fight nobody has booked. Nothing here is timestamped against a result, nothing here is graded, and none of it counts towards our public record. It is a thought experiment with real numbers behind it.

Tale of the tape

Khalil Rountree Jr. vs Navajo Stirling — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

UFC 10-7 (1 draw/NC)	UFC record	UFC 6-0
15-7	Pro record	11-0
6' 1"	Height	6' 4"
76"	Reach	▲79"
Southpaw	Stance	Orthodox
36	Age	28
205 lbs.	Weight	205 lbs.
—	Nationality	New Zealand
—	Born in	Upper Hutt, Wellington, New Zealand
—	Fights out of	Auckland, New Zealand
—	Camp	City Kickboxing

Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

Stat-by-stat

Khalil Rountree Jr. (left) vs Navajo Stirling (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min

3.88

6.47

Striking accuracy

40%

55%

Strikes absorbed / min

4.33

2.56

Striking defence

49%

58%

Takedowns / 15 min

0.82

Takedown accuracy

25%

Takedown defence

58%

71%

Sub attempts / 15 min

0.1

Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Fights that have happened between them

None.

Khalil Rountree Jr. and Navajo Stirling have never met in the UFC.

Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.

The real fighters

Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.

Change either fighter: Khalil Rountree Jr. vs Navajo Stirling in Build your own → Khalil Rountree Jr. — record, tape and career → Navajo Stirling — record, tape and career → This week's real card →

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Carlos Ulberg vs Magomed Ankalaev →Carlos Ulberg vs Alex Pereira →Magomed Ankalaev vs Jiri Prochazka →Magomed Ankalaev vs Khalil Rountree Jr. →Magomed Ankalaev vs Navajo Stirling →Alex Pereira vs Navajo Stirling →

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