Alexandre Pantoja vs Tatsuro Taira

If they fought

A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.

Alexandre Pantoja 39% Tatsuro Taira 61%

Run as an unbooked fight, the numbers favour Tatsuro Taira at 61% — a lean, not a conviction.

Our two reads agree, and closely. Both land on Tatsuro Taira — 61% on the first, 64% on the second, 3 points apart.

The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 60%.

KO/TKO

25%

Submission

25%

Decision

50%

These figures come from the same statistical reads we run on real cards, with the betting market removed — there is no market on a fight nobody has booked. Nothing here is timestamped against a result, nothing here is graded, and none of it counts towards our public record. It is a thought experiment with real numbers behind it.

Tale of the tape

Alexandre Pantoja vs Tatsuro Taira — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

UFC 14-5	UFC record	UFC 8-2
30-7	Pro record	18-2
The Cannibal	Nickname	—
5' 5"	Height	5' 7"
67"	Reach	▲70"
Orthodox	Stance	Orthodox
36	Age	26
125 lbs.	Weight	125 lbs.
Brazil	Nationality	Japan
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil	Born in	Naha, Okinawa, Japan
Arraial do Cabo, Brazil	Fights out of	Naha, Okinawa, Japan
American Top Team	Camp	The Blackbelt Japan

Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

Stat-by-stat

Alexandre Pantoja (left) vs Tatsuro Taira (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min

4.54

2.87

Striking accuracy

50%

54%

Strikes absorbed / min

4.23

3.1

Striking defence

48%

44%

Takedowns / 15 min

2.82

3.57

Takedown accuracy

44%

43%

Takedown defence

69%

46%

Sub attempts / 15 min

0.9

1.3

Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Fights that have happened between them

None.

Alexandre Pantoja and Tatsuro Taira have never met in the UFC.

Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.

The real fighters

Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.

Change either fighter: Alexandre Pantoja vs Tatsuro Taira in Build your own → Alexandre Pantoja — record, tape and career → Tatsuro Taira — record, tape and career → This week's real card →

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Joshua Van vs Manel Kape →Alexandre Pantoja vs Kyoji Horiguchi →Manel Kape vs Tatsuro Taira →Brandon Royval vs Kyoji Horiguchi →Tatsuro Taira vs Kyoji Horiguchi →

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