Tatsuro Taira vs Kyoji Horiguchi — fantasy matchup

If they fought

A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.

Tatsuro Taira 52% Kyoji Horiguchi 48%

Run as an unbooked fight, the numbers favour Tatsuro Taira at 52% — close enough to be a coin toss — there is no meaningful separation between them.

Our two reads agree on the winner but not on the margin. Both name Tatsuro Taira — 52% on the first, 64% on the second, a gap of 12 points. The wider that gap, the less settled the read.

The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 59%.

KO/TKO

28%

Submission

28%

Decision

44%

These figures come from the same statistical reads we run on real cards, with the betting market removed — there is no market on a fight nobody has booked. Nothing here is timestamped against a result, nothing here is graded, and none of it counts towards our public record. It is a thought experiment with real numbers behind it.

Tale of the tape

Tatsuro Taira vs Kyoji Horiguchi — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

UFC 8-2	UFC record	UFC 9-2
18-2	Pro record	36-6
5' 7"	Height	5' 4"
70"▲	Reach	63"
Orthodox	Stance	Orthodox
26	Age	36
125 lbs.	Weight	125 lbs.
Japan	Nationality	Japan
Naha, Okinawa, Japan	Born in	Takasaki, Gunma, Japan
Naha, Okinawa, Japan	Fights out of	Coconut Creek, Florida, United States
The Blackbelt Japan	Camp	American Top Team

Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

Stat-by-stat

Tatsuro Taira (left) vs Kyoji Horiguchi (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min

2.87

3.64

Striking accuracy

54%

47%

Strikes absorbed / min

3.1

2.08

Striking defence

44%

64%

Takedowns / 15 min

3.57

1.67

Takedown accuracy

43%

40%

Takedown defence

46%

61%

Sub attempts / 15 min

1.3

0.1

Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Fights that have happened between them

None.

Tatsuro Taira and Kyoji Horiguchi have never met in the UFC.

Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.

The real fighters

Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.

Change either fighter: Tatsuro Taira vs Kyoji Horiguchi in Build your own → Tatsuro Taira — record, tape and career → Kyoji Horiguchi — record, tape and career → This week's real card →

More Flyweight fantasy matchups

Joshua Van vs Manel Kape →Alexandre Pantoja vs Tatsuro Taira →Alexandre Pantoja vs Kyoji Horiguchi →Manel Kape vs Tatsuro Taira →Brandon Royval vs Kyoji Horiguchi →

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