Brandon Royval vs Kyoji Horiguchi

If they fought

A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.

Brandon Royval 42% Kyoji Horiguchi 58%

Run as an unbooked fight, this one splits our two reads — they do not name the same winner, so there is no lean here to give you.

Our two reads disagree. One leans Kyoji Horiguchi at 58%; the other leans Brandon Royval at 56%. When they split like this there is no read worth having — treat it as a coin toss.

The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 59%.

KO/TKO

25%

Submission

16%

Decision

59%

These figures come from the same statistical reads we run on real cards, with the betting market removed — there is no market on a fight nobody has booked. Nothing here is timestamped against a result, nothing here is graded, and none of it counts towards our public record. It is a thought experiment with real numbers behind it.

Tale of the tape

Brandon Royval vs Kyoji Horiguchi — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

UFC 8-5	UFC record	UFC 9-2
18-9	Pro record	36-6
Raw Dawg	Nickname	—
5' 9"	Height	5' 4"
68"▲	Reach	63"
Southpaw	Stance	Orthodox
34	Age	36
125 lbs.	Weight	125 lbs.
United States	Nationality	Japan
Denver, Colorado, United States	Born in	Takasaki, Gunma, Japan
Englewood, Colorado, United States	Fights out of	Coconut Creek, Florida, United States
Factory X	Camp	American Top Team

Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

Stat-by-stat

Brandon Royval (left) vs Kyoji Horiguchi (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min

5.6

3.64

Striking accuracy

42%

47%

Strikes absorbed / min

4.24

2.08

Striking defence

42%

64%

Takedowns / 15 min

0.89

1.67

Takedown accuracy

64%

40%

Takedown defence

45%

61%

Sub attempts / 15 min

1.2

0.1

Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Fights that have happened between them

None.

Brandon Royval and Kyoji Horiguchi have never met in the UFC.

Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.

The real fighters

Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.

Change either fighter: Brandon Royval vs Kyoji Horiguchi in Build your own → Brandon Royval — record, tape and career → Kyoji Horiguchi — record, tape and career → This week's real card →

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