Correlation is not causation. A fighter based near the venue may also be matched differently, travel less or fight in front of their own gym, and none of that is separated out here.
Descriptive only. This page describes past UFC results; it is not a forecast.
The overall picture
| Level | Outside Nevada | Bouts | Nevada, every event | Bouts |
|---|
| Home state | 48% | 264 | 55% | 47 |
| Home city | 44% | 57 | 55% | 44 |
By event state: fighter based in the state
win rate · the thin line marks an even split · small sample
CA2006 to 2026
53%
58 bouts
NV (every Nevada event)2002 to 2025
55%
47 bouts
TX2007 to 2026
52%
33 bouts
NYsmall sample2016 to 2025
54%
28 bouts
FLsmall sample2006 to 2024
40%
20 bouts
NJsmall sample2001 to 2026
32%
19 bouts
COsmall sample1994 to 2018
64%
11 bouts
MAsmall sample2010 to 2019
60%
10 bouts
AZsmall sample2014 to 2019
22%
9 bouts
OHsmall sample2007 to 2022
33%
9 bouts
MOsmall sample2017 to 2025
50%
8 bouts
ILsmall sample2012 to 2019
29%
7 bouts
WAsmall sample2012 to 2026
33%
6 bouts
WIsmall sample2013 to 2018
60%
5 bouts
IAsmall sample1999 to 2000
75%
4 bouts
LAsmall sample1999 to 2025
50%
4 bouts
NEsmall sample2008 to 2018
25%
4 bouts
INsmall sample2010
67%
3 bouts
NCsmall sample1995 to 2020
0%
3 bouts
MNsmall sample2012 to 2019
50%
2 bouts
MSsmall sample1997
0%
2 bouts
NMsmall sample2014 to 2020
50%
2 bouts
OKsmall sample1994 to 2017
0%
2 bouts
ORsmall sample2009
0%
2 bouts
PAsmall sample2011 to 2026
100%
2 bouts
SDsmall sample2016
0%
2 bouts
TNsmall sample2015 to 2017
100%
2 bouts
UTsmall sample2016 to 2024
100%
2 bouts
ALsmall sample1997
0%
1 bout
GAsmall sample2025
100%
1 bout
MEsmall sample2014
100%
1 bout
MIsmall sample1996
100%
1 bout
VAsmall sample2010
100%
1 bout
By event state: fighter based in the city
NV (every Nevada event)2002 to 2025
55%
44 bouts
CAsmall sample2011 to 2019
60%
10 bouts
AZsmall sample2014 to 2019
29%
7 bouts
ILsmall sample2013 to 2019
25%
4 bouts
NYsmall sample2017 to 2021
50%
4 bouts
TXsmall sample2015 to 2026
75%
4 bouts
WIsmall sample2013 to 2018
50%
4 bouts
COsmall sample1994
100%
3 bouts
NEsmall sample2008 to 2012
33%
3 bouts
FLsmall sample2018 to 2024
0%
2 bouts
INsmall sample2010
100%
2 bouts
MAsmall sample2015 to 2016
50%
2 bouts
MOsmall sample2024 to 2025
50%
2 bouts
OHsmall sample2007
0%
2 bouts
ORsmall sample2009
0%
2 bouts
SDsmall sample2016
0%
2 bouts
LAsmall sample1999
0%
1 bout
MIsmall sample1996
0%
1 bout
NCsmall sample2018
0%
1 bout
NMsmall sample2014
100%
1 bout
The small-sample flag on these rows comes from the source data.
More context facts